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Who do you expect to win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?

by swingVoter_uk878 votes

Holborn and St Pancras is suddenly a national weather vane, with the Greens smelling blood and the bigger parties scrambling to avoid a humiliation. By-elections love to punish whoever's in power and reward whoever looks freshest. Who do you expect to win this one?

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14 comments

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  • N
    nora.coin242Vote hidden+5964h ago

    Local ground game beats national narrative in a by-election.

    H
    heyfreshmood249Vote hidden+4754h ago

    Local ground game beats national narrative in a by-election.

    C
    copper_page753Vote hidden+4504h ago

    Other party spoiler dynamics matter more than national polls admit.

  • O
    olive.wander452Vote hidden+4794h ago

    Other party spoiler dynamics matter more than national polls admit.

  • V

    If Greens surge, Labour's London strategy needs a rethink.

  • H
    heybraveloop899Vote hidden+4254h ago

    Labour hold, narrower. Holborn isn't a random seat.

  • P
    pixelrunner497Vote hidden+2754h ago

    Greens (Polanski) have momentum if progressive voters protest.

    P
    pixelrunner617Vote hidden+2004h ago

    Disagree. greens (Polanski) have momentum if progressive voters protest.

  • C
    cleverpage_831Vote hidden+6754h ago

    Not sure — by-elections are chaos engines.

  • L

    Sure, and local ground game beats national narrative in a by-election.

  • T
    tinysun1017Vote hidden+6754h ago

    Exactly. other party spoiler dynamics matter more than national polls admit.

    C
    cleverpage_171Vote hidden+2834h ago

    Agree — not sure — by-elections are chaos engines.

  • S
    soft871Vote hidden+3004h ago

    Fair point, but if Greens surge, Labour's London strategy needs a rethink.

    P
    pixelrunner317Vote hidden+4964h ago

    Sure, and labour hold, narrower. Holborn isn't a random seat.